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Last updated: Jan 26, 2026 · Methodology v2026.01.1

Marketing Break-even Calculator

See how much you can spend per lead or customer while staying profitable.

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What you'll need

  • Average ticket value and gross margin.
  • Conversion rate from lead to customer.

What you'll get

  • Break-even cost per lead and acquisition.
  • ROAS range.

Worked example

How the number is worked out

A flooring installer working out the most they can pay for a click.

Starting from

Average ticket$220
Gross margin62%
Click-to-customer conversion8%
Clicks a month900

Working

Gross profit per customer ($220 × 62%)$136
Break-even per click (× 8%)$10.91
What the traffic is worth at that rate$8,348 – $11,294 a month

Anything above about eleven dollars a click loses money on the first sale. That is a ceiling, not a target — bidding to break-even means working for nothing.

How this was calculated

Methodology v2026.01.1. These estimates are directional and depend on inputs and assumptions.

  • Average ticket and gross margin define profit per sale.
  • Conversion rate determines lead-to-customer math.
  • Break-even cost per lead and acquisition are derived.
  • ROAS range shown for quick comparison.

FAQ

What does break-even mean here?

It is the maximum you can spend before the sale produces zero profit.

Are these estimates exact?

No. They are directional so you can see the size of the leak before refining assumptions.

Can I change the assumptions?

Yes. Adjust the inputs to reflect your business and rerun the numbers.

Why use a range instead of a single number?

Ranges reflect uncertainty and help you stress-test best and worst cases.

Does this include profit?

Use the gross margin input to translate revenue impact into profit impact.

Want to understand why this is happening?

Put your own numbers against real data and see what actually moves this.

Prefer automation? See systems →

No account required.

Tools that support the system

The tool is the starting point. Moonshot is where you carry the work forward.

The tool is the starting point. Moonshot is the software that keeps the issue, next move, and follow-through visible over time.

Marketing Break-even Calculator | Moonshot